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We expect RTY to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect RTY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 58.6. A price movement of 1,704 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Mar 15:00
05 Jan 15:00
02 Nov 15:00
01 Sep 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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