Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect a 339 pip movement on RTY within 12 hours following the event release at 2024-10-25 08:00. We expect RTY to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-10-25 08:00 if the released value is > 85.6
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
26 Aug 08:00 |
24 Apr 08:00 |
22 Mar 09:00 |
25 Oct 08:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).