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We expect PL to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect PL to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect PL to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 21 Nov 23:30 if the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 135 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Oct 23:30
21 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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