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We expect OJ to trend upwards today with a 87.5% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Japan, we expect OJ to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > ¥-962.4B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Nov 23:50
18 Oct 23:50
19 Jul 23:50
17 May 23:50
15 Mar 23:50
15 Feb 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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Esperamos un movimiento en $186 del ZB dentro de 48 horas siguiendo la publicación de Balanza Comercial el 2023-12-19 23:50.

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