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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate MoM events in United States, we expect a $430 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-11-13 13:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2024-11-13 13:30 if the released value is = 0.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Sep 12:30
14 Aug 12:30
12 Mar 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $109 movement on ZN within the next 48 hours.

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