Based on past Euro Area Deposit Facilty Rate news events there is a 72.73% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 3%. A price movement of 51 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
12 Sep 12:15![]() |
06 Jun 12:15![]() |
11 Apr 12:15![]() |
07 Mar 13:15![]() |
25 Jan 13:15![]() |
14 Dec 13:15![]() |
26 Oct 12:15![]() |
15 Jun 12:15![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).