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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-11-21 23:30 if the released value is > 2.2%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jun 23:30
23 May 23:30
21 Dec 23:30
23 Nov 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect SM to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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