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We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, NZDUSD could trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. If the released value is > 2.3% we could see NZDUSD trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jun 23:30.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 Apr 23:30
20 Jan 23:30
23 Dec 23:30
21 Oct 23:30
19 Jul 23:30
17 Jun 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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