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We expect NQ to trend downwards today with a 71.43% chance.

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect NQ to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 58

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Nov 15:00
03 Aug 14:00
01 May 14:00
01 Apr 14:00
03 Feb 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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