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We expect NIY to trend upwards with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Housing Starts events in United States, we expect NIY to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NIY to trend upwards for 12 hours because the released value is > 1.169M. A price movement of 42,750 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 12:30
19 Feb 13:30
17 Jan 13:30
18 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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