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We expect NIY to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ivey PMI s.a events in Canada, we expect a $7308330 movement on NIY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 14:00. We expect NIY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 14:00 if the released value is > 55.2

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jul 14:00
05 Jun 14:00
04 Oct 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 112 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release.

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We expect GF to trend upwards with a 80% chance.

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