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We expect NIY to trend downwards today.

We expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 110K. A price movement of 1730 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Mar 13:30
07 Feb 13:30
06 Sep 12:30
02 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 66 pip movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

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We expect a $1020 movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the release of ISM Manufacturing PMI.

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