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We expect NIY to trend downwards right now.

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 80% chance of NIY trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 2. A price movement of 8500 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Apr 01:30
08 Feb 00:30
12 Oct 00:30
14 Sep 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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