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We expect MW to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect a $3577 movement on MW within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-30 12:00. We expect MW to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-30 12:00 if the released value is > 2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Apr 12:00
06 Jan 13:00
30 Oct 13:00
30 Jul 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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