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We expect MW to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a $1622 movement on MW within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-04-01 09:00. We expect MW to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-04-01 09:00 if the released value is = 2.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 10:00
29 Nov 10:00
30 Aug 09:00
30 Apr 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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