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We expect HE to trend upwards with a 70% chance.

Based on past Euro Area Deposit Facilty Rate news events there is a 70% chance of HE trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 3%. A price movement of 9550 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Oct 12:15
12 Sep 12:15
18 Jul 12:15
06 Jun 12:15
11 Apr 12:15
14 Dec 13:15
26 Oct 12:15
27 Jul 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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