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We expect GC to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect GC to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GC to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-24 09:00 if the released value is > 85.8. A price movement of 300 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 09:00
25 Oct 08:00
24 Apr 08:00
22 Mar 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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