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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards with a 75% chance.

Based on past United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 3.7%. A price movement of 50 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

21 May 06:00
19 Feb 07:00
20 Nov 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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