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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Euro Area, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for 48 hours because the released value is = 7.5%. A price movement of 87 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 10:00
01 Oct 09:00
31 Aug 09:00
31 Jul 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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