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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect a $2760 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY Flash at 2025-07-01 09:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-07-01 09:00 if the released value is = 2%. A price movement of 276 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 10:00
29 Nov 10:00
30 Aug 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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