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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Canada Unemployment Rate news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 5.5%. A price movement of 43 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jul 12:30
05 Apr 12:30
08 Mar 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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