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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Canada, we expect a 114 pip movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-08 12:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-08 12:30 if the released value is = 7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Jun 12:30
04 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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