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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today.

We expect a $350 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the release of Ivey PMI s.a at 2025-09-05 14:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-05 14:00 if the released value is < 53.1. A price movement of 35 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 May 14:00
08 Apr 14:00
07 Jan 15:00
06 Dec 15:00
06 Sep 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 1740 pip movement on NIY within 12 hours following the event release.

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