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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on past Germany Ifo Business Climate news events there is a 80% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 89.0. A price movement of 28 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Feb 09:00
25 Nov 09:00
24 Sep 08:00
25 Jul 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect HE to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

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We expect a $804 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-07-25 12:30.

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