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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 PPI MoM events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-12 13:30 if the released value is > 0.2%. A price movement of 14 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Sep 12:30
12 Jul 12:30
14 May 12:30
16 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After experiencing a 1.37% bearish move in the space of 17 days, nobody knows where EURGBP is headed.

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We expect a $247 movement on HE within 12 hours following the event release at 2024-12-12 13:30.

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