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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

We expect a $590 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the release of Fed Interest Rate Decision at 2025-05-07 18:00. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-05-07 18:00 if the released value is = 4.5%. A price movement of 59 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Mar 18:00
29 Jan 19:00
07 Nov 19:00
31 Jul 18:00
01 May 18:00
20 Mar 18:00
13 Dec 19:00
01 Nov 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $219 movement on ZB within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-07 18:00.

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