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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect a $150 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-06-30 09:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-06-30 09:00 if the released value is < 1.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
30 Sep 09:00
30 Aug 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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