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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect a $180 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-10 03:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2024-12-10 03:30 if the released value is = 4.35%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Nov 03:30
24 Sep 04:30
06 Aug 04:30
07 May 04:30
19 Mar 03:30
07 Nov 03:30
03 Oct 03:30
05 Sep 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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