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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now.

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of EURUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 52 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jun 12:30
14 Apr 12:30
14 Jan 13:30
15 Dec 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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