Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in France, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 87.5% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-29 06:45 if the released value is < 1%. A price movement of 96 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
27 May 06:45 |
28 Mar 07:45 |
28 Feb 07:45 |
31 Jan 07:45 |
07 Jan 07:45 |
29 Nov 07:45 |
27 Sep 06:45 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
