Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-03 10:00 if the released value is = 2.3%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
07 Jan 10:00 |
30 Aug 09:00 |
02 Jul 09:00 |
30 Apr 09:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
