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We expect ES to trend downwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on past Japan Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 66.67% chance of ES trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 2.6%. A price movement of 450 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Feb 23:30
19 Aug 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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