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We expect ES to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prel events in United Kingdom, we expect a 131 pip movement on ES within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-15 06:00. We expect ES to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-15 06:00 if the released value is = 0.6%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 May 06:00
10 Feb 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $300 movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2025-05-15 06:00.

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