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We expect EMD to trend upwards for the next 2 hours.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, EMD could experience an upwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this, and the trend could last 2 hours because the released value is > 1.9%.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 May 09:00
03 Mar 10:00
03 Feb 10:00
31 Oct 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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