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We expect EMD to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

We expect EMD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Germany Unemployment Rate news events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 5%. A price movement of 7,690 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 08:55
29 Nov 08:55
30 Oct 08:55
30 Sep 07:55
31 Jul 07:55
01 Jul 07:55
30 Apr 07:55
01 Mar 08:55

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After experiencing a 9.89% bearish move in the space of 12 days, nobody knows where GER30 is headed.

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