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We expect ED to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 ZEW Economic Sentiment Index events in Germany, we expect ED to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This will happen if the released value is > -27

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 09:00
16 Apr 09:00
19 Mar 10:00
19 Feb 10:00
22 Jan 10:00
13 Nov 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $430.743 movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release at 15 Oct 08:30.

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We expect a $355.414 movement on USDCAD within 12 hours following the event release at 15 Oct 09:00.

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