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We expect CC to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Flash events in Euro Area, we expect a 93 pip movement on CC within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-03 10:00. We expect CC to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-03 10:00 if the released value is > 2.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
31 Jul 09:00
31 May 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

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