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We expect C to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

We expect C to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -0.2%. A price movement of 126,850 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jun 12:30
15 Jan 13:30
17 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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