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We expect BP to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect BP to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect BP to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Sep 23:01 if the released value is > -14. A price movement of 0 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jul 23:01
30 May 23:01
28 Feb 00:01
31 Jan 00:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

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