Based on past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 72.73% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 3.25%. A price movement of 96 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
27 Jul 18:00![]() |
04 May 18:00![]() |
16 Mar 18:00![]() |
15 Dec 19:00![]() |
03 Nov 18:00![]() |
28 Jul 18:00![]() |
28 Apr 18:00![]() |
17 Mar 18:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).