Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate MoM events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-09-11 12:30 if the released value is > 0.3%. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
12 Feb 13:30![]() |
15 Jan 13:30![]() |
10 Oct 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).