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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 6. A price movement of 12 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Feb 00:30
12 Nov 00:30
09 Jul 01:30
09 Apr 01:30
12 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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