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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 BoC Interest Rate Decision events in Canada, we expect a 49 pip movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2024-12-11 14:45. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-12-11 14:45 if the released value is = 3.25%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Oct 13:45
04 Sep 13:45
24 Jul 13:45
10 Apr 13:45
24 Jan 14:45
06 Dec 15:00
25 Oct 14:00
06 Sep 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $142 movement on CT within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-12-11 14:45.

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