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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 66.67% chance.

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 145K. A price movement of 34 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Jul 12:30
05 Apr 12:30
01 Feb 13:30
02 Nov 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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