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We expect a 76 pip movement on NZDUSD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 RBA Interest Rate Decision events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 77.78% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2023-03-07 03:30 if the released value is = 3.6%. A price movement of 76 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Feb 03:30
06 Dec 03:30
01 Nov 03:30
06 Sep 04:30
02 Aug 04:30
05 Jul 04:30
05 Apr 04:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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