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We expect a 67 pip movement on USDCHF within 12 hours following the event release.

We expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1.7%. A price movement of 67 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Feb 10:00
31 Jul 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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