Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-08-07 01:30 if the released value is > A$2.5B. A price movement of 64 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
01 May 01:30 |
06 Mar 00:30 |
09 Jan 00:30 |
03 Oct 01:30 |
05 Sep 01:30 |
01 Aug 01:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
