Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a 550 pip movement on ES within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30. We expect ES to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-26 12:30 if the released value is > 8.5%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
26 Mar 12:30 |
27 Feb 13:30 |
25 Oct 12:30 |
26 Sep 12:30 |
26 Aug 12:30 |
27 Jun 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
