Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-09-05 12:30 if the released value is < 75K. A price movement of 192 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
01 Aug 12:30 |
07 Mar 13:30 |
07 Feb 13:30 |
06 Sep 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
