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We expect a 45 pip movement on USDCAD within 12 hours following the event release.

Based on past Germany Ifo Business Climate news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 86. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Oct 08:00
24 Apr 08:00
22 Mar 09:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $174 movement on CT within 48 hours following the event release at 2024-11-25 09:00.

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